Stocks to Watch: SUN 22 MAR09

Short term Watch list and other MT posted to the journal …

We already involved in five of them: SWDY, AUTO, AICR, ECAP, EGAS

some new and most of them from the market blue chips, see the journal for details

COMI, OLGR, AMOC, DAPH, HRHO, ETRS

Egyptian Exchange Weekly Wrap 21-25 SEP 08

another correction week with lighter liquidity, the market drop -1.71% and some sectors outperformed this week like the chemicals, the foreign investors power selling do everything and even the local institutional cant help this market, wait for bounce after the bailout meeting decision today

Volume Leaders

Stock	Last		% change		% Vol
MCQE.CA	78.00		5.05%		258%
EGAL.CA	48.35		-22.05%		231%
OCIC.CA	311.00		2.57%		87%
AFDI.CA	37.78		2.08%		75%
SVCE.CA	9.70		-12.53%		62%
NRPD.CA	31.53		1.71%		55%
SWDY.CA	100.06		4.46%		53%
ETRS.CA	55.50		17.46%		40%

Best and Worst Performers

Stock % CHG VOL TRTO.CA 55.65% -82% MOIN.CA 34.87% -60% AMRI.CA 25.62% -99% PACH.CA 21.59% -89% AREHA.CA 19.93% -90% ICID.CA 19.40% -75% RREI.CA 17.57% -52% ETRS.CA 17.46% 40% ROTO.CA 16.74% -59% TORA.CA 14.76% 10% HDBK.CA 14.34% -8% SNFC.CA 13.75% -49% EGAS.CA 10.88% -70% INFI.CA 10.53% -69% OLGR.CA 10.46% -52%

Stock % CHG VOL AALR.CA -43.78% -84% ECMI.CA -26.90% -91% AJWA.CA -25.21% -91% PRCL.CA -22.88% -23% FOAM.CA -22.58% -95% EGAL.CA -22.05% 231% IFAP.CA -19.15% -52% EPCO.CA -17.95% -29% MENA.CA -16.13% -71% OCDI.CA -14.35% -70% GMCI.CA -13.49% IDEA.CA -13.33% -7% KZPC.CA -12.62% -60% SVCE.CA -12.53% 62% ACRO.CA -11.08% -71%

Egypt & UAE Volumes, MON 22 SEP 08

Green Stocks with Green Volume:

EGX EXPA.CA     248% EGAL.CA     176% EAST.CA     151% EFIC.CA      124% EMOB.CA     123% SWDY.CA    104% EKHO.CA     103% CSAG.CA     67% RREI.OTC    50% GSSC.CA     49% ETRS.CA     47%

ADX ADAVIATION.ADX     492% ADCB.ADX               339% SOROUH.ADX           338% ALDAR.ADX              258% ETISALAT.ADX          247% GCEM.ADX               96% FGB.ADX                  69%

 

Red Stocks with Green Volumes:

EGX AIVC$.CA     80% AFDI.CA       57% OCDI.CA      45%

ADX ARKAN.ADX       368% RAKPROP.ADX   131% ADIB.ADX          114% WAHA.ADX         102% RAKWCT.ADX     94% DANA.ADX         88%

DFM DU.DFM           291% UPP.DFM          224% EMAAR.DFM      184% DIB.DFM           167% DFMC.DFM          124% TABREED.DFM   92% TAMWEEL.DFM   90% GULFNAV.DFM   76%

Egypt & UAE Volume leaders, SUN 21 SEP 08

i think it’s useful to return to monitoring the stocks activity in daily basis, to the special case of those days

I will post everyday as I can

Green Stocks and Green Volumes:::

EGX SWDY.CA     516% DEVE.CA      281% ORTE.CA     123% COMI.CA     40% SVCE.CA     53%

ADX ARKAN.ADX          696% ADCB.ADX           567% FGB.ADX              269% RAKPROP.ADX      225% DANA.ADX           111% ETISALAT.ADX     43%

DFM UPP.DFM             525% DU.DFM              453% DIB.DFM             403% GULFNAV.DFM     319% ARMX.DFM          301% TAMWEEL.DFM    296% EMAAR.DFM        273% DFMC.DFM          254% TABREED.DFM     210% IAIC.DFM            197% AIRARABIA.DFM  185% DEYAAR.DFM       163%

 

 

……

Egyptian Exchange New LLs, Week 14-18 SEP 08

Stocks closed at All Time Low:: AIVC$.CA, AREH.CA, AREHA.CA, DEVE.CA, MOIL$.CA, NAHO$.CA, RAYA.CA, RUBX.CA, TOUR.CA, PHDC.CA, ODHN.CA

Stocks closed at 1 Year Low:: CCRS.CA, COMI.CA, FAITA.CA, RTVC.CA, ASCM.CA, RAKT.CA, SIMO.CA, KZPC.CA, MICH.CA, GGCC.CA, HRHO.CA, SEIG.CA, COSG.CA, PHAR.CA, NASR.CA, SWDY.CA, UASG.CA, APSW.CA, NMPH.CA, AREI.CA, DAPH.CA, GIHD.CA, HELI.CA, MNHD.CA, UNIT.CA, ETEL.CA, ORHD.CA, PHTV.CA, MFSC.CA, ICID.CA

Stocks closed at 2 Years Low:: FAIT.CA, SAUD.CA, WATA.CA, ESRS.CA, IRON.CA, DCRC.CA, ECAP.CA, PACH.CA, DEIN.CA, HDBK.CA, MOSC.CA, SUGR.CA, ZEOT.CA, BIOC.CA, PHPC.CA, EAST.CA, SPIN.CA, ELSH.CA, OCDI.CA, EGTS.CA, SDTI.CA, MPRC.CA

Stocks closed at 3 Years Low:: NSGB.CA, MBSC.CA, OLGR.CA, ORTE.CA

Stocks closed at 4 Years Low:: EMOB.CA, LCSW.CA, SUCE.CA

Stocks closed at 5 Years Low:: ORWE.CA

Egyptian Exchange Weekly Wrap 14-18 SEP 08 … I

as any market in the world this week, MENA stocks tumbled very bad but dislike the other markets they closed the week ugly

EGX crashed -13.55%, ADX -7.53%, DFM -7.89%, TADAWUL -9.11%

when you speak about sectors and stocks also dislike the Europe, Asia and USA markets, MENA markets completely affected with the bad news, the whole markets collapses as the blue chips doing and didnt act the same on any run LOL

to see this look at the Egypt Exchange which has only one Green stock this week!(MEDU.CA +0.5%, illiquid stock), and you will see this in the Top/Worst performance sheet

also to count the week facts: 11 stocks made All Time Low, 30 stocks closed at OneYearLow, 22 stocks closed @ TwoYearsLow, 4 stocks at ThreeYearsLow, 3 Stocks @ FourYearsLow, and one stock closed at FiveYearsLow

with all means it was a very bad week and the action done in the last two sessions!

in EGX the most bad sectors were:

Real Estates (-18.68%) and this of course by the market big caps TMGH.CA, HELI.CA, OCDI.CA etc

the Industrial sector (-17.81%) win this score SWDY.CA, ALCN.CA, AUTO.CA, CSAG.CA

and if we can say there were a top performer stocks this week, we can say it was the Healthcare (-6.11%), Chemicals (-9.87%)

the change table

Egyptian Exchange Weekly Wrap, 7-11 SEP 08

the week of no news, very quit week, the blue chip dropped slowly and the rest run!

the worst sector was the small telecom (-6.87) by the help of Orascom Telecom ORTE.CA and it’s bad news and downgrads and bad fair values, then come the banking sector (-5.12) and it’s bad outlook for the next year, today CIB Egypt (COMI.CA) tumbled -5.3% which drag the whole sector with it

the market itself witness -2.71% this week with bigger than average turnover

the best sector this week was the Food sector (+10.96%) cuz the high food prices in Ramadan and inflation rise

the real estate sector performed well too (+7.09%) and this on the contrary to the UAE real estate sector which collapsed badly this week, in egypt the sector run by Talaat Mustafa Group TMGH.CA and it’s news and the new chairman

The Volume Leaders

Stock	Last		% change		% Vol		Notes
MHOT.CA	130.00		36.91%		1210%		very illiquid
ACRO.CA	48.70		-3.37%		433%
$EGSA.CA	5.25		5.00%		378%		like MHOT
EGAL.CA	62.03		39.52%		315%
TMGH.CA	7.10		8.56%		227%		**
ABUK.CA	232.13		0.95%		181%
EXPA.CA	21.66		3.14%		181%
AMOC.CA	78.25		0.97%		174%
CSAG.CA	21.01		35.55%		161%
ALCN.CA	150.00		5.63%		141%
ROTO.CA	380.00		-1.76%		139%
ALUM.CA	60.90		25.83%		135%
SEIG.CA	85.52		-4.99%		111%
SCFM.CA	108.98		29.43%		90%
EGAS.CA	247.97		10.21%		84%
AREI.CA	108.00		-2.04%		81%
HDBK.CA	25.17		-2.82%		76%
NRPD.CA	38.25		25.41%		59%
RTVC.CA	8.86		6.62%		56%
$NANA.CA	21.05		-2.55%		55%
CEFM.CA	27.19		21.38%		54%
APSW.CA	6.36		18.88%		51%
SNFC.CA	72.85		7.61%		50%

the best and worst this week

Stock % CHG VOL EGAL.CA 39.52% 315% ICID.CA 38.75% -1% MHOT.CA 36.91% 1210% CSAG.CA 35.55% 161% NHPS.CA 34.57% 3% SCFM.CA 29.43% 90% EPCO.CA 27.32% -8% AICR.CA 26.57% -6% ALUM.CA 25.83% 135% NRPD.CA 25.41% 59% NIRE.CA 25.25% -93% AALR.CA 24.90% 4% GLAS.CA 24.20% -3% RREI.CA 24.12% -24% MOIN.CA 23.75% -86%

Stock % CHG VOL OLGR.CA  * -19.30% -8% AJWA.CA -13.68% -56% TRTO.CA -13.00% -99% OCDI.CA  * -10.64% -4% ORTE.CA  * -9.09% 33% ESRS.CA  * -7.34% -44% CANA.CA  * -6.75% -31% COMI.CA  * -5.53% -11% EMOB.CA  * -5.51% -2% EHDR.CA -4.90% 29% ELKA.CA -4.76% -59% HRHO.CA  * -4.73% 38% DARY.CA -4.60% -61% ETEL.CA  * -4.05% 33% SWDY.CA  * -3.85% -27%

as you see the worst stocks this week were the blue chips of the market (the starred symbols)

let’s see what the market show in the next week

the new portfolio performed very well this week +4.91%, the third week in row, very good start, I will past the week result in the journal blog now

Egyptian Exchange: HFI Stocks Price Performance

I tried here to track the most liquid and working stocks in the market like the sectors performance table, I did this every week and was thinking to attach it here to ease of search

HFI constituents Price Performance

sorted by 1W change

• in one week the best performers were: ACGC.CA, SCEM.CA, ORWE.CA – sure you cant catch any of them except Arab Cotton this losy week regardless the cement, ACGC was the only clear entry
• in 2 Weeks there were:Sinai Cement SCEM and Telecom Egypt ETEL.CA – here I didnt saw any entry in the cement by I catched Telecom Egypt in my main account with 4 entries, in the new portfolio by two orders
• in Monthly basis we can see Sinai Cement too and GB Auto AUTO.CA, again the cement escaped from me too, and my portfolio loaded with Ghabour shares already (when your profit times from single stock cant be count on one hand, you fall in love with it and attach it to the eternal Watch List on the desktop)
• in three months view: there was EZZ ALDEKHELA IRAX.CA, SWDY.CA cables and Maridive MAPS.CA!, I saw the steel entry but didnt took it cuz it was very high (there was a breakout of the week high that gave this 10% profit), the cables SWDY.CA already taken with two separate trades(means each one entered and exit alone without addition, and MAPS was new listed company and I’m not interesting in the new stocks in EGX
• in 6 Months long I didnt took a trade with that long except in the old days when riding the big trend was the only method to profit from the Egyptian Exchange but if You watch you can see: EFIC.CA 54%, SVCE 18%, IRAX.CA 45%, ABUK.CA 18%, ORWE.CA 9% — I’m sure I haven’t any trade in ABUK or ORWE  neither SVCE.CA in the last 6 months, but EFIC Egy Financial I remember I were holding 19 positions in it in 20/5 and the liquidation began this week, I absorbed it trend very easily and happily, it was a great ride, EFIC has many memories with me, IRAX also I took a trade or two beside the mentioned above

interesting to see how your strategy success, and if it still or not!, this is what I mean by tracking, you can make it simpler by watching the best performers across 20 days only and see, did you catch any of them?, if many of them escaped, ask yourself why?!

Egypt Stock Market Wrap 13-17 July08

Performance table

the market begin to consolidate in this area (-10% under the main MA) if you remember the spread posts, the market run the first 3 sessions and then dropped the last two with visible bidders,

yes they are delicious prices now but the greed want more and more drop are coming in some stocks to consolidate in accumulations areas

you can notice the activity in stocks priced in USD and this cuz the decline of the US Dollar this week

the consolidation begins this week and can live for some months

Volume Leaders

Stock	Last		% change		% Vol		Notes
NRPD.CA	40.88		25.40%		466%
PIOH.CA	17.30		-21.36%		339%
LCSW.CA	27.52		-12.63%		200%
AGIN.CA	1.16		-10.77%		132%		OTC
UNIP.CA	61.00		6.49%		108%
CSAG.CA	22.00		-15.58%		106%
PACH.CA	50.00		-2.57%		86%
$MAPS.CA	6.75		8.70%		78%
OCDI.CA	132.21		-6.57%		75%
SNFI.CA	56.49		-3.44%		69%
SWDY.CA	143.00		2.14%		67%
EHDR.CA	8.12		-11.93%		63%
$AIVC.CA	1.17		-2.50%		63%
ALCN.CA	187.01		-18.69%		61%
MPCO.CA	31.85		-12.14%		55%
$NAHO.CA	1.35		9.76%		41%

Weekly Wrap 6-10 July08 …

Volume Leaders:

Stock	Last		% change		% Vol		Notes
AGIN.CA	1.30		21.50%		269%		OTC
NRPD.CA	32.60		-38.28%		207%
SNFI.CA	58.50		21.90%		173%
UNIP.CA	57.28		-32.01%		131%
ORTE.CA	62.10		-8.00%		107%
MPCO.CA	36.25		-12.86%		98%
AUTO.CA	45.90		2.00%		86%
$NAHO.CA	1.64		-14.14%		80%
EHDR.CA	9.22		-25.82%		77%
HCFI.CA	1.69		30.00%		76%		OTC

The Worst and Best Performers:

Stock % CHG VOL HCFI.CA 30.00% 76% SNFI.CA 21.90% 173% AGIN.CA 21.50% 269% KABO.CA 17.92% -33% TORA.CA 15.14% -60% ALEX.CA 10.76% 52% ELKA.CA 7.80% -50% ETEL.CA 6.56% -29% SWDY.CA 5.27% -50% AREI.CA 4.99% -64% WCDF.CA 4.26% -62%

Stock % CHG VOL NRPD.CA -38.28% 207% $ESGA.CA -36.81% -84% SNFC.CA -32.02% -44% UNIP.CA -32.01% 131% GIHD.CA -31.69% -35% NMPH.CA -30.24% 6% CCRS.CA -27.05% -48% EHDR.CA -25.82% 77% $TRTO.CA -25.56% -94% NCGC.CA -25.03% -38% RAKT.CA -23.78% 11%